Five nations under threat from climate change

Catherine Brahic | The New Scientist
 
“The first line of coconut trees has disappeared” – Kiribati inhabitant

While the world dithers about tackling climate change, in some parts of the world people are running out of time. In Florida sea level rises can be worked around to some extent – condos can be put on stilts and moved away from the shoreline. But on some islands you can only move back so far before you have to start worrying about the water at your back door as well as the water in front.

Here are five islands whose inhabitants are going to need a new home soon:

1. The Guardian reports today that the new president of the Maldives will be putting part of the country’s profits from tourism into a very special – and unusual – fund: one that will be used to buy a new, climate-change-friendly home. With its highest point reaching only 2.4 metres, the Maldives is one of the lowest-lying nations in the world and risks being submerged by rising sea-levels.

2. Tuvalu is another small pacific island state, and after the Maldives the second-lowest nation in the world. At its highest, it is 5 metres above sea-level and could be gone by the middle of this century. In 2002, the government was said to have hired two international law firms to look into suing polluting nations for effectively evicting its citizens.

3. Kiribati is a group of 32 atols and one island that peaks at 6.5 metres above sea-level. The World Bank has been involved in assessing the nation’s vulnerability to climate change. I attended a talk by one of the project leaders some years ago in Paris. She quoted a few of the changes which the islanders were noticing. The one that has always stuck with me was “the first line of coconut trees has disappeared”. Salt-intrusion was killing off the trees that were closest to the water.

4. The inhabitants of the Carteret Islands of Papua New Guinea may be among the first climate refugees – their home lies just 1.2 metres above the waves. The government of Papua New Guinea adopted a plan in 2005 to evacuate the locals to the neighbouring island of Bougainville. The relocation was initially scheduled for 2007, then delayed. According to this report, there was a trial earlier this year, which created some tension as relocated citizens were used as labourers in coconut plantations on Bougainville.

5. In 1995, 500,000 inhabitants on Bangladesh’s Bhola Island were forced to move in when half their island was permanently flooded. Some claim they were the first climate refugees. Scientists predict that 20 million Bangladeshis could suffer the same fate by 2030.

New documentary on the oceans and climate change

Press Release
Imagine a world without fish. Sven Huseby, descendant of Norwegian fishermen and life-long environmentalist, had never done so until he read an article on ocean acidification. That article, “The Darkening Sea,” changed his life. He discovered that the effects of climate change are not limited to global warming: they extend to the sea, where the chemistry of the water is being changed and creating a profound threat to the food chain, starting at the bottom.

The next step? Huseby and his partner and wife, director Barbara Ettinger, decided to create a feature-length documentary about the issue. After two years in production, thousands of miles of travel, and hundreds of hours of editing, A Sea Change will be completed in December 2008. The odyssey begins with a meeting with Elizabeth Kolbert, author of the New Yorker magazine article which catalyzed the film and ends with a series of meetings with the charismatic entrepreneurs whose daring innovations may help us turn the tide on changing ocean chemistry. The meat of the film is conversations with scientists whose research is in the forefront of the race to understand ocean acidification.

When we think about urgent threats to our environment, the images which come to mind are smokestacks and automobiles belching pollution into the sky, where it is causing global warming. But much of that pollution—which is excess carbon dioxide–doesn’t stay in the atmosphere. Much is absorbed by the oceans, where it becomes carbonic acid. At these abnormally elevated levels, carbonic acid changes seawater chemistry by lowering pH. That in turn decreases the available calcium carbonate essential for formation of bones in fish, shells on crustaceans and reef material from corals. For example, we are now seeing early signs of damage to pteropods, tiny creatures which are the essential food of juvenile salmon. The effects of the addition of carbon dioxide to the ocean ripples across many species, including human beings who rely on the sea for both sustenance and economic survival. Add to this growing problem the fact that we know relatively little about the oceans, compared to what we know about terrestrial ecosystems. We do know that the pH balance of the oceans has changed dramatically since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution: there is a 30% increase in acidification. With near unanimity, scientists now agree that the burning of fossil fuels is fundamentally reshaping ocean chemistry. Experts predict that over the next century, steady increases in carbon dioxide emissions and the continued rise in the acidity of the oceans will cause most of the world’s fisheries to experience a total bottom-up collapse–a state that could last for millions of years.

Huseby is the means by which the audience encounters the problem of ocean acidification, starts to understand the issue and its possible solutions. He travels from the Northeast to the Northwest United States to Norway and California on his journey to understand. Driving his voyage is his concern for his five-year-old grandson Elias and what environment legacy he will inherit.

The tone of the film is unavoidably dark at times. Asked if we are “screwed,” Dr. Edward Miles from the University of Washington says, “Yes, to a considerable extent.” Kolbert herself mourns that she is leaving her son a degraded world. Yet there is hope, and Huseby, the documentary’s protagonist, finds it where he can, among the scientists and entrepreneurs and in his moments with Elias.

Says Rob Moir, Executive Director of the Ocean River Institute: “A Sea Change could not be more timely. I believe acidification of our oceans is actually a greater threat to our survival than is temperature or sea level rise, the conventional “global warming” threats. Acidification is confusing and difficult to even imagine for most people–we need your film. To imagine a world without fish we must first imagine an ocean devoid of life. As someone who as watched whales for more than three decades that is incomprehensible. Yet it will happen if we do not first comprehend and then take steps to turn the trends.” Moir was formerly Curator of Education at the New England Aquarium. He was awarded a Switzer Environmental Fellowship from the Robert & Patricia Switzer Foundation, and the James Centorino Award for Distinguished Performance in Marine Education by the National Marine Educators Association, which he also served as president.

Interviewees include: Dr. Richard Feely, NOAA and University of Washington; Dr. Edward Miles, University of Washington; Dr. Jeff Short, NOAA Juneau, AK; Dr. Ricki Ott, Cordova, AK; Dr. Ken Caldeira, Carnegie Institute of Global Ecology, Stanford University; Dr. Richard Bellerby, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway; Dr. Victoria Fabry, California State College, San Marcos, CA; Dr. Jan-Gunnar Winther, Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsoe, Norway; Elizabeth Kolbert, New Yorker writer on environmental matters; Miyoko Sakashita, environmental lawyer with the Center for Biological Diversity, San Francisco, CA; Deborah Williams, President, Alaska Conservation Solutions and former Special Assistant to the U.S. Secretary of the Interior; Andrew Beebe, President, Energy Innovations; Borea Schau-Larsen. hotelier and owner of Solstrand Hotel in Os, Norway; Maya Lin, artist and architect.

Read on here.

South Africa: ‘Climate change’ park moving forward

 

By Melanie Gosling | Independent Online

South Africa is set to get its first “climate change” national park designed to give species a better chance of survival in a warmer, drier future.

The Namaqua National Park in the Northern Cape came a step closer to realising that aim on Thursday when it acquired another 36 000ha of land on the West Coast.

Ultimately SANParks hopes to extend the park to include mountainous land in the Kamiesberg, which would complete the “climate change” park.

Paul Daphne, SANParks’ managing executive of park operations, said on Monday having a park stretching from sea level to an elevation of about 1 700m would allow plant and animal species to migrate to different altitudes in response to a drier and warmer climate.

“In that regard it will be our state-of-the-art park to accommodate the inevitability of climate change. There may be other national parks where this climate change accommodation could take place, but this is the first one consciously designed with that in mind,” Daphne said.

The new 36 000ha addition, between the Groen and Spoeg rivers, is owned by De Beers Consolidated Mines and was given to SANParks by the mining company on a 99-year lease, with the option of a further 99-year lease when that expired.

SANParks intends to promulgate the new park boundaries soon.

The land is now farmland, used mainly for sheep, but was mined for diamonds in some areas in the past.

Asked what would happen to the park if it become economical to mine the land again, Daphne said it was unlikely that this would occur.

“I would think they (De Beers) have done their homework quite well. Obviously the land had some diamond mining, but clearly it is not economical now.

Read on here.

The MTV Switch Gets “Deep” About Global Warming

Everyone loves a good practical joke, right?! MTV Switch – MTV Networks International’s Global Climateglobal_hands Change Campaign – has gotten involved by placing a pair of realistic looking inflatable hands in Amsterdam canals holding a sign stating, “Global Warming. What’s all the fuss about?”

Taxing our gas guzzling relapse

 

By Steve Hargreaves, CNNMoney.com

NEW YORK -Gas prices have plummeted 44% since peaking at over $4 a gallon this summer, and are now averaging around $2.30.

There’s some evidence suggesting Americans are using the savings not to buy groceries or make home payments, but instead to drive more. That may, in turn, drive up demand and push prices right back up.

So while gas prices are still well below $3 a gallon, is now the time to pass a gas tax in an effort to keep demand down?

And will a President Obama, who wants to cut greenhouse gas emissions, have the political firepower to call for a tax that most politicians are unwilling to discuss – even though many economists say it would be the most efficient way to reduce global warming?

“There’s no question, it will be successful as a way to cut consumption,” said Gary Becker, a Nobel Laureate economist at the University of Chicago. “It’s certainly a better time to enact it, than when gas was at $4 a gallon.”

To those who support a gas tax, cutting consumption has many benefits.

First, it reduces greenhouse gas emissions. It also helps alleviate congestion and eases the burden on the country’s aging roads and bridges.

While it is likely to raise prices immediately, the tax would also simultaneously act to reduce consumption, so the market price for gas would likely fall. That would mean less money for OPEC or Exxon Mobil.

If the government raised the gas tax by $1, that’s about $140 billion dollars a year that could be used for schools, roads, or whatever the feds wanted to spend the money on.

“If we can cut gas consumption, we can cut oil imports and we cut how much (money) we send to overseas nations,” said Becker.

As gas prices passed $4 a gallon this summer, there was ample evidence that Americans were driving less.

Sales of big cars and trucks plummeted. As fall approached, it was clear Americans were changing their driving habits.

Numbers complied by MasterCard’s SpendingPulse market report showed gas consumption falling by as much as 9% in early October, a deeper decline than the 4% or 5% seen throughout the summer. Government figures for October showed a drop of over 4%, also outpacing earlier government estimates.

Read on here.